Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 1.630546e-03 0.001796 0.001961 0.002139 0.002323 0.002510 0.002711
2025-02-23 1.273767e-03 0.001508 0.001750 0.002018 0.002303 0.002597 0.002922
2025-03-02 1.016261e-03 0.001301 0.001605 0.001950 0.002327 0.002722 0.003166
2025-03-09 8.304927e-04 0.001156 0.001515 0.001932 0.002398 0.002895 0.003462
2025-03-16 6.944435e-04 0.001054 0.001464 0.001952 0.002507 0.003109 0.003802
2025-03-23 5.862177e-04 0.000974 0.001431 0.001989 0.002633 0.003339 0.004161
2025-03-30 4.824040e-04 0.000888 0.001385 0.002005 0.002733 0.003540 0.004489
2025-04-06 3.852989e-04 0.000800 0.001329 0.002004 0.002809 0.003714 0.004785
2025-04-13 3.021215e-04 0.000719 0.001275 0.002001 0.002882 0.003880 0.005072
2025-04-20 2.323631e-04 0.000647 0.001225 0.002000 0.002953 0.004044 0.005355
2025-04-27 1.733342e-04 0.000580 0.001177 0.001997 0.003018 0.004199 0.005628
2025-05-04 1.403599e-04 0.000550 0.001176 0.002051 0.003152 0.004434 0.005990
2025-05-11 1.212737e-04 0.000543 0.001209 0.002151 0.003347 0.004744 0.006446
2025-05-18 6.213956e-05 0.000439 0.001093 0.002053 0.003294 0.004761 0.006562
2025-05-25 2.832042e-05 0.000367 0.001017 0.002002 0.003296 0.004842 0.006752
2025-06-01 1.118907e-05 0.000321 0.000977 0.001997 0.003355 0.004988 0.007017
2025-06-08 3.373941e-06 0.000294 0.000963 0.002028 0.003458 0.005188 0.007345
2025-06-15 2.624894e-07 0.000274 0.000961 0.002073 0.003579 0.005409 0.007696
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000247 0.000944 0.002096 0.003670 0.005593 0.008004
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000217 0.000915 0.002099 0.003735 0.005744 0.008273
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000188 0.000886 0.002100 0.003796 0.005889 0.008533
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000162 0.000858 0.002102 0.003856 0.006032 0.008791
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000138 0.000830 0.002100 0.003911 0.006169 0.009040